Taheri Exchange Daily FX Report
Issue: # 173         www.taheriexchange.com   6th of January 2011

 

 

Technical Ranges 
CAD, USD, EUR, GBP & JPY
technical charts

USD/CAD

Support:  0.9888        Resistance: 0.9999

CAD/JPY

Support:  82.83        Resistance:  83.79

EUR/CAD

Support:  1.2965     Resistance:  1.3113

EUR/USD

Support:  1.3056     Resistance:  1.3204

GBP/USD

Support:  1.5454     Resistance:  1.5586

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Currency Commentary

EUR, USD, CAD, GBP , JPY


EUR:    Remaining rather quiet today, the EUR/USD holds above the 1.3100 support line where it awaits fresh direction over the NY session. The pair currently trades around 1.3115 and finds difficulties to break free to the upside ahead of the US jobless claims.


USD:   Today's Initial jobless claims showed a slight rise, the USD/CAD has remained in the same levels as yesterday...in the mid 0.9900 range. Tomorrow's Non-farm payrolls data if aligned with the numbers out of yesterday's ADP could see the pair..back into the lower 0.9900 level.


The parity trend will continue ...dependant on today's U.S. equity movements.
Most likely the biggest movements will happen after tomorrow's payrolls data. Will the pair end the week in the higher 0.9800 or reverse direction and start a bullish trend?

CAD:   The CAD continues to remain in the "parity" range..commodities and equity markets had been trading in thin volumes during Asian and European sessions. That same trend may continue during North American sessions.


Expected range for the USD/CAD..... similar to yesterday once again. higher  0.9800 to higher 0.9900 levels.


GBP:   Cable has been consolidated underneath 1.5500 for a good part of the European morning, trying at the time of writing to break past resistance at that mark. The pair had earlier swung around 90 pips from a daily high in 1.5560 following a weak British PMI report, finally finding support around 1.5470.


JPY:    While trading pretty much quiet over the entire Asian session, the USD/JPY is currently showing slight bearish pressure as it dips below support at 83.00. The pair currently quotes around a daily low of 82.90 where it searches for traction.

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worldfx

" Canadian survey indicates 'Canadians more cautious about the economy'  "....

" Our own economy may be improving but our own financial situations are not".....


Canadians are less optimistic about the economy than they were a year ago, a national poll showed Thursday.

Thirty-eight per cent of Canadians feel the economy will improve in the next year, compared to 54 per cent last year, a survey by the Economic Club of Canada and Pollara showed.

One in five think the Canadian economy will actually get worse this year, up from 14 per cent who felt that way last year.

“Canadians were feeling overly bullish on economic recovery this time last year,” said Michael Marzolini, Pollara's chairman. “But clearly these lofty expectations in Canada and around the world have not yet been met.”

Much of the caution stems from perceptions about the U.S.

Canadians are more confident about their own economy than in elsewhere in the world. Four in 10 think the U.S. economy will worsen this year and the same proportion think the global economy will worsen.

Top economic concerns include the cost of living, government deficit and national debt, and having enough money to retire.

Canadians are less concerned with broader issues, such as foreign aid and charitable causes, and more preoccupied with their own finances, Mr. Marzolini said in a Toronto speech.

"Our own economy may be improving but our own personal financial situations are not." 


"USD-  Intial jobless claims down slightly ..."..

"The recovery in the labor market is continuing to move along at a gradual pace".....

bulls-bears 

Fewer Americans filed claims for unemployment insurance payments over the past month, indicating the labor market is improving.

The average number of applications for jobless benefits over the past four weeks dropped to 410,750, the lowest level since July 2008, Labor Department figures showed today in Washington. Claims for the week ended Jan. 1 rose by 18,000 to 409,000.

Firings have been waning in recent weeks, a necessary step toward gains in hiring that will help boost consumer spending, which accounts for 70 percent of the economy. A report tomorrow is projected to show employers added to payrolls in December for a third month as the U.S. expansion gained speed.

“The recovery in the labor market is continuing to move along at a gradual pace,” said Omair Sharif, an economist at RBS Securities Inc. in Stamford, Connecticut who forecast claims would rise to 410,000. “Employers are getting to the point where they are becoming a little more confident about the strength of the recovery.”


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Main USD/CAD data today:

1. USD- Initial jobless claims data.
CAD - Ivey purchasing mgrs index data.

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