Taheri Exchange Daily FX Report
Issue: # 132         www.taheriexchange.com   8th of November 2010
worldfx

" 'Return back to gold standard' states World Bank President .."

"The system should also consider employing gold as an international reference... "


Leading economies should consider readopting a modified global gold standard to guide currency movements, said World Bank president Robert Zoellick.

Writing in the Financial Times, Mr. Zoellick said a "Bretton Woods II" system of floating currencies is needed to replace the Bretton Woods fixed-exchange rate regime that broke down in the early 1970s.

Mr. Zoellick called for a system that "is likely to need to involve the dollar, the euro, the yen, the pound and (yuan) that moves towards internationalisation and then an open capital account."

He added: "The system should also consider employing gold as an international reference point of market expectations about inflation, deflation and future currency values."

Gold hit to a record high at US$1,398.35 an ounce in early trade on Monday on concerns of a continued weakening dollar trend after the U.S. Federal Reserve last week acted to resume buying Treasurys.

"The dollar is losing its relevance especially with the emergence of Asia economies, so a more neutral benchmark may be required. Gold, amid all the recent uncertainty, is proving its worth," said ANZ's senior commodity analyst Mark Pervan.

Gold later retreated to around US$1,391 an ounce as speculators booked profits, and other analysts said the bullion market was still digesting Mr. Zoellick's comments.

"Going forward that would be something that we could look towards, but it's not going to happen within a short period of time," said Ong Yi Ling, analyst at Phillip Futures in Singapore, adding that gold prices barely reacted to the comments.

The dollar rose sharply on Monday as unwinding of dollar short positions that began with solid U.S. jobs data snowballed, pushing down the euro to its lowest level since the Fed embarked on fresh easing last week.



"CAD- Housing starts fell in October.."

 "Both single-detached and multiple starts decreased last month.."

bulls-bears

Housing starts fell more than expected in October, Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. said Monday.

The federal housing agency said there was an annualized rate of 167,900 starts last month, down 9.2% from 185,000 in September. The September number was revised down from the previously reported 186,400.

“Housing starts moved lower in October due to a decrease in urban single starts in all regions, with the exception of Atlantic Canada,” CMHC chief economist Bob Dugan said in a statement. “Both single-detached and multiple starts decreased last month.”

The rate of housing starts in Canada has generally been trending lower since reaching a level of 205,700 in April. But it has recovered significantly from the rate seen during the recession, bottoming out at an annualized rate of 112,000 in April 2009.

In October, housing starts in urban areas — those with populations of 10,000 or more – were down 12.3% to an annualized rate of 142,400. On this basis, starts were down 24.5% in Ontario, fallen 16.9% in the Prairies, off 9.1% in British Columbia, down 2.6% in Quebec but up 32.9% in Atlantic Canada.


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Currency Commentary
EUR, USD, CAD, GBP & JPY

EUR:  Despite steadily creeping lower on Monday due to rekindled debt concerns over Europe, the EUR/USD seems to be finding firm support at the 1.3900 barrier where it lingers ahead of the NY open. The pair reached an intraday low of 1.3894 around mid-day Europe, yet quickly resurfaced to consolidate above ever since.


USD: 
With no relevant U.S. data expected today...the markets will be trading in the same ranges as per last Friday.

We may see choppy trading....overall another great day for buyers of the USD.


CAD:  Earlier today the Housing Starts for Canada was not very positive..giving slight strength to the USD.

Last week..parity was reached a few times...were still not far off from hitting it once again. The next 2 days we may see parity once again..all dependant on equity and commodity markets.

Today's expected range on the pair...higher 0.9000 to higher 1.0000 levels.

GBP:  Pound's rally from 1.5655 low on October 25 was capped at 1.6300 high last Thursday, and the pair's pullback extended on Monday to 1.6105 session low on Asian session to consolidate between there, and 1.6170 on the upside, during European trading.

JPY:
   Dollar Yen downtrend might have find a bottom, around 80.00, as the pair is expected to end the year at levels around 81.00, and extend recovery to reach 88.00in November 2011, according to the monthly Forex poll taken by Reuters.

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Technical Ranges
CAD, USD, EUR, JPY & GBP

technical chartsUSD/CAD                                                        

Support:  0.9991   Resistance: 1.0097

CAD/JPY

Support:  80.18   Resistance:  81.39

 EUR/CAD

 Support: 1.3937  Resistance: 1.4071

 

 EUR/USD

 Support:  1.3864  Resistance: 1.4014

GBP/USD

Support:  1.6081  Resistance: 1.6212

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Main USD/CAD data today:

1. USD- No relevant data.
CAD - Housing starts data.

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