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" Gold surging as the 'uncertainty theme' looms again .."
"The system should also consider employing gold as an international reference... "
Gold
surged to a record high for the fourth day running on Tuesday, fuelled
by renewed concern over high sovereign debt in eurozone countries such
as Ireland and Greece and inflationary pressures. Spot gold hit
US$1,422.30 a troy ounce. The precious metal was bid at US$1,418.40 an
ounce at 1124 GMT from US$1,409.09 late in New York on Monday. Silver
touched US$28.46 an ounce, the highest since March 1980, and palladium
saw US$728.22 an ounce, its highest since April 2001. “We have a
combination: inflation fears, currency market uncertainty, fears about
the financial strength of some countries,” said Alexander Zumpfe of
Heraeus Metals. Mr. Zumpfe said remarks by World Bank President
Robert Zoellick that leading economies should consider readopting a
modified gold standard, had also helped reignite interest in the
precious metal. Worries about price pressures were reinforced last
week by the U.S. Federal Rederal which annnounced further monetary
policy easing to help boost economic growth in the world’s largest
economy, the United States. “Inflation concerns and eurozone debt
worries have helped accentuate the surge this week initiated by the
weakness in the dollar,” said investment bank Fairfax in a note. News
that the Fed would buy back US$600-billion of U.S. government bonds
initially weakened the dollar and propelled commodity prices higher,
particularly gold, which has gained nearly 30% this year so far. G20 CONCERNS Also
on the radar is this week’s G20 summit. Officials from Germany, Brazil,
China and South Africa are among those expressing concern that the
Fed’s money printing could weaken the dollar and drive up commodity
prices. If the G20 fails to defuse global tensions, it may
heighten investor concerns that policymakers are drifting further apart,
leaving the world economy vulnerable. “There is a lot of
uncertainty ahead of the G20 meeting. If there are no surprises we may
see a correction afterwards,” said David Wilson, analyst at Societe
Generale. “Gold is using any excuse to go higher.” Traders
think the target this rally is US$1,475 an ounce. “Beyond that US$1,500
is only a short ride,” one trader said, adding high seasonal physical
demand was another factor behind the rise in precious metal prices.
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"CAD- New Housing Price Index rose in September.."
"Montreal and Calgary gained in pricing.."
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Prices
for new houses rose more than expected in September, led by gains in
Montreal and Calgary, Statistics Canada reported Tuesday. The federal agency’s New Housing Price Index gained 0.2% during the month, following 0.1% increase in August. Most economists had expected house prices to rise 0.1% in September. Prices in Montreal were up 1.6%, while Calgary saw a 0.3% gain. “The
monthly increases in these two metropolitan areas were due in part to
builders moving to new areas with higher land development fees,” the
agency said. Prices were unchanged in eight of 21 metropolitan areas in September, it said. Year over year, new home prices rose 2.7% in September, down from a 2.9% annual increase in August. Last
week, the Canadian Real Estate Association said reported home sales
appear to be stabilizing but activity this year and next is still
expected to be weak The Ottawa-based group forecast sales to reach
442,200 units in 2010, down 4.9% on an annual basis. Activity will drop
9% to 402,500 units in 2011 due to “lacklustre economic and job growth,
muted consumer confidence, and the resumption of interest rate
increases are expected in 2011,” CREA said.
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| Currency Commentary
EUR, USD, CAD, GBP & JPY
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EUR: Euro retreat from 1.4280 high last week has bottomed at 1.3820 as the
Euro bounced up strongly as sovereign debt worries eased and equity
markets bounced to profits, and the pair surged about 150 pips through
the session to hit day high at 1.3970.
USD: Once again "uncertainty" is the main concern as the G20 meeting is due this Thursday. Equity and commodity markets will be choppy..expect the USD/CAD to continue it's minor bearish trend.
CAD: Housing Prices came out positive, what is really causing more strength to the CAD is commodity prices rising...
Earlier we saw the USD/CAD reach parity and if the U.S. equity markets come out purchasing U.S. stocks...we will remain the parity or possible lower levels.
We still haven't broken the 0.9948 levels, last reached back on 21st of April 2010. If the pair can break this level..it will head further south.
Today's range for the USD/CAD... possibly mid 0.9000 to mid 1.0000 levels.
GBP: The Cable recovered from morning lows under 1.6100 over the European
session, recently reaching as high as 1.6185 before running out of
steam. The pair has since consolidated in the last hour of trading, and
currently hovers around 1.6165 where it shows lightly bearish
tendencies.
JPY: The Dollar has resumed its downtrend over the European session and after
a tepid recovery attempt from 80.70, which has been capped at 81.00,
the pair has extended its decline from 81.45/60 resistance area last
week, to fresh lows at 80.60.
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| Technical Ranges
CAD, USD, EUR, JPY & GBP
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USD/CAD
Support: 0.9948 Resistance: 1.0048
CAD/JPY
Support: 80.08 Resistance: 81.14
EUR/CAD
Support: 1.3842 Resistance: 1.3994
EUR/USD
Support: 1.3821 Resistance: 1.3981
GBP/USD
Support: 1.6079 Resistance: 1.6212
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| Main USD/CAD data today: |
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1. USD- No relevant data.
CAD - New Housing Price Index & Mark Carney speech on Financial reform data.
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