Signs
of robust economic growth in China and recovery in parts of Europe
lifted world stocks on Wednesday while a relatively successful
Portuguese debt sale helped ease short-term fears about the eurozone’s
debt crisis.
The euro was up close to US$1.31, European shares
rose nearly 1% and Japan was half a per cent higher. Wall Street also
looked set to open stronger.
The cost of insuring Portuguese and other peripheral euro zone sovereign debt against default fell.
Better-than-expected
Chinese factory data in November, with the official Chinese purchasing
managers’ index (PMI) rising to a seven-month high of 55.2, showed
health in one of the world’s largest economic engines, lifting
sentiment. In Europe, the eurozone’s manufacturing sector expanded at
its fastest pace in four months in November, led by heavyweights Germany
and France. Britain’s manufacturing hit a 16-year high.
Serious concerns remained, however, about the pressure on eurozone debt and the methods by which it might be eased.
Fears
were eased slightly after debt-ridden Portugal successfully sold 500
million euros in 12-month T-bills although borrowing costs rose to
5.281% from 4.813% previously, in a fresh sign of that investors expect
Portugal to follow Ireland and Greece to seek a bailout.
Standard
& Poor’s warning on Tuesday that it could cut Portugal’s credit
ratings if growth prospects weakened further was having little impact.
There
were also signs that the eurozone debt crisis was raising concerns
among global policymakers. G20 deputy finance ministers discussed "the
financial situation in Europe" on Monday in a teleconference, a senior
G20 source in Asia said, and a top U.S. Treasury official is travelling
to Europe.
The euro bounced back from recent lows to stand above US$1.30 EUR, up around three quarters of a per cent.
Analysts
cautioned, however, that pressure could return quickly, especially if
peripheral yield spreads began to widen again or if bond auctions were
poor. Spain comes to the market on Thursday.
"You really need some
aggressive action from the authorities in Europe to try and calm nerves
and that’s really the key at this stage," said Greg Gibbs, a strategist
at RBS in Sydney.
The extent of the damage to bond holders was
underlined by new Citi bond returns data showing eurozone bonds lost
2.69% in November, with Ireland tumbling more than 11%, Spain more than
7% and nearly Portugal 5.8%.
STOCKS REBOUND
The Chinese and
European data lifted risk appetite on stock markets. Although some
countries fear Chinese policy tightening if the economic is deemed to be
rising too fast, good growth in China is typically a booster for
export-oriented countries.
MSCI’s all-country world stocks index was up 0.8% and its emerging market counterpart gained a solid 1.5%.
European stocks also rose sharply with the FTSEurofirst 300 gaining 1.1%.
As with the euro, however, analysts said the sentiment could easily be flipped by poor news on the eurozone bond front.
"We’re
getting a technical rebound. A number of indicators showed the indexes
as ’oversold’, and some investors have started looking for bargains. But
we’re keeping a close eye on bond yield spreads to see if this stock
rebound has legs," said Harry Sebag, head of sales trading at Saxo
Banque.