Taheri Exchange Daily FX Report
Issue: # 198         www.taheriexchange.com   10th of February 2011

 

 

Technical Ranges 
CAD, USD, EUR, GBP & JPY
technical charts

USD/CAD

Support:  0.9914        Resistance: 0.9998

CAD/JPY

Support:  83.04        Resistance:  83.85

EUR/CAD

Support:  1.3454     Resistance:  1.3604

EUR/USD

Support:  1.3540     Resistance:  1.3678

GBP/USD

Support:  1.5993     Resistance:  1.6097

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Currency Commentary

EUR, USD, CAD, GBP , JPY


EUR:  After reports suggested the ECB stayed off the bond markets last week, Reuters informs today the central bank resumed purchasing, particularly Portuguese bonds as markets, frustrated over the EU's lack of action, drove yields on Portugal's 10 year benchmark to a euro-era high at 7.66%.

Euro decline from yesterday's high at 1.3745 has extended about 150 pips lower so far today, as the pair dipped below 1.3600 to hit day low at 1.3645 on Dollar strength after upbeat US jobless claims data.


USD:   After stronger than expected Initial jobless claims data out of the U.S....the USD/CAD had descended from the higher 0.9900 to mid 0.9900 currently.

Today more news of other world exchanges merging. First it started with Singapore exchange in talks with Australian exchange, yesterday, London and Toronto..and today Frankfurt and New York. Will these mergers benefit the overall world economy in the long term???

Tomorrow's key U.S. data Michigan Confidence report will move the markets further.

CAD:   Although commodities are down this morning, the Loonie continues to remain in the 0.9900 range..upbeat U.S. data has given more strength to the CAD. In order for the USD/CAD to dip down into the higher 0.9800 range...it needs to break support in the 0.9929 levels.

Today's range ..lower  0.9900 to possibly higher 0.9900 levels.

GBP:   Former Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee members, DeAnne Julius and Tim Beasley, called on the decision makers to vote in favor of a rate hike. Julius and Beasley said to the UK's newspaper The Telegraph, they would as long as that wouldn't lead to an actual rate increase.

Both economists said that, so far, the credibility of the MPC is untainted, but concerns about inflation are on the rise and a statement needs to be made. Ms Julius, declared she would "put down a marker" in favor of increasing rates as long as the final vote is for hold, a view shared by Mr. Beasley, who said to be "pleased two members want to raise rates," The Telegraph reports.

The Pound has spiked about 40 pips lower, hitting a fresh week low at 1.6013, immediately after the Bank of England released its decision to maintain its Bank Rate at all-time low, to bounce up to 1.6050 shortly afterwards.

JPY:    The Dollar recovery from 81.10 low on Friday has extended higher boosted by generalized Dollar strength after strong employment data in the US, to reach session highs at 83.15, approaching Jan 27 high at 83.20.


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worldfx

" NYSE & Deutsche Boerse talking about possible merger??  "....

" Strategically this deal makes a lot of sense".....


Germany’s Deutsche Boerse AG and NYSE Euronext confirmed Wednesday that they were in advanced discussions to combine their operations, a union that, if consummated, would create the world’s largest exchange operator.

Investors cheered the announcement, noting that the talks were driven by a desire to save money and build a transatlantic powerhouse across markets for stocks, futures and options. Shares of NYSE Euronext and Deutsche Boerse both jumped Wednesday after trading was halted temporarily due to the news.

Any proposed deal will face intense regulatory scrutiny on both sides of the Atlantic. Experts say U.S. regulators may be reluctant to see the New York Stock Exchange, perhaps the ultimate symbol of American finance, bought by a European company. At the same time, European regulators could try to block the transaction on the grounds that it will create a near-monopoly player in the region’s futures markets.

In a joint statement, the two companies carefully described the potential deal as a “combination,” but it looks more like an acquisition. If it passes muster with regulators, the all-stock transaction would create a new entity in which Deutsche Borse’s shareholders hold about 60 per cent of the equity.

“Strategically, this deal makes a lot of sense,” wrote Chris Allen, an analyst at Evercore Partners, in a note to clients Wednesday. The two companies expect to shave €300-million ($409-million) from their annual costs, or about 14 per cent of total expenses, he said.

The new company would bring together two of the four largest stock trading platforms in Europe and play a dominant role in the continent’s derivatives markets. It would also capture almost half of the U.S. trading in options. Such heft, in theory, will help the two companies fend off smaller challengers that have eaten into their businesses.

“You can’t control [trading] volumes or the economic climate, but you can take out costs and do strategic stuff to grow,” says Jamie Selway, managing director at Investment Technology Group, Inc. in New York.

Duncan Niederauer, the chief executive officer of NYSE Euronext, who would retain that role in the combined business, has a reputation as a savvy manager who is pushing ahead into new trading arenas opened up by regulatory changes.

Whether regulators will actually derail the deal remains to be seen. The firms have been down this road before, holding talks in 2008 and 2009. The fact that discussions have reached such an advanced stage indicates the two companies have resolved the disagreements that plagued earlier rounds. One reportedly centred on where the new entity would be based; the firms said Wednesday it would have dual headquarters in Frankfurt and New York while being incorporated in the Netherlands. Another unresolved question: what to call the new company.

A deal could come quickly, possibly as soon as next week, reports suggest. Wednesday’s announcement that there was “no agreement had a lot of specifics in it,” noted Mr. Selway wryly.



" USD- Initial jobless claims drops to levels last seen 3 yrs ago .."..

" the labor market is improving ".....

bulls-bears

The number of people applying for unemployment benefits plunged last week to the lowest level in nearly three years, boosting hopes that companies will step up hiring this year as the economy strengthens.

Applications sank by a seasonally adjusted 36,000 to 383,000, the lowest point since early July 2008.

A slowdown in firings means U.S. companies may begin creating enough jobs to keep unemployment going down after the rate’s biggest two-month decline since 1958. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke yesterday said the jobless rate will likely stay high “for some time” as companies remain reluctant to add to payrolls.

“The labor market is improving,” said Brian Jones, an economist at Societe Generale in New York who projected claims would drop to 385,000. “Fingers crossed, if the weather can hold off this week, we should get a pretty decent snap back in non-farm payrolls and maybe another drop in the jobless rate.”


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Main USD/CAD data today:

1. USD- Initial jobless claims data.
CAD - New housing price index data.

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