 |
|
"Does today's job numbers truly reflect a recovery in the Canadian economy?? ..."
"With the August rise, all of the recession's job losses have now been recouped.."
Canada has now recouped the jobs lost to the recession, though the
unemployment rate is actually climbing and has a long way to go before
retreating to pre-slump levels. And those gains still don't make it a
pretty picture.
Some 36,000 positions were created in August, Statistics Canada
said today, while the jobless rate inched up to 8.1 per cent from 8 per
cent as more people joined the labour force. Also notable in this
morning’s report were the 68,000 jobs added in the education sector.
This had been expected given the drop of about 65,000 in the last
report because of a July phenomenon that skewed the overall numbers.
The recorded loss of jobs among teachers and administrative and support
staff in July has been an annual event for the past few year as the
nature of employment in the sector changed, with more use of temporary
and shorter contracts.
“With the August rise, all of the recession’s job losses have now
been recouped,” said BMO Nesbitt Burns deputy chief economist Douglas
Porter. “Put another way, there are now more Canadians employed than
ever before.”
The Statistics Canada report shows 80,000 full-time jobs were added
in August, while part-time positions fell by 44,000. Still, since the
pickup began in July of 2009, growth in part-time employment has
outpaced that of full-time work, at a pace of 4.1 per cent compared to
2.2 per cent.
Besides the education sector, the professional and scientific group
also gained, as did the construction sector. Some 26,000 manufacturing
jobs disappeared.
Given that the big gain was driven by the teachers, the report
wasn’t actually all that strong, and adds to evidence that Canada’s
recovery is losing some steam. “Because of seasonal distortions in both
education and manufacturing this year, this is a cloudier report than
usual,” Mr. Porter said. “However, sifting through the many
cross-currents in this release, the underlying story is on the soft
side of expectations and consistent with a broader loss of momentum in
the Canadian economy. Perhaps the back-up in the jobless rate in the
past two months captures the story best, although it is still well down
from the 8.7 per cent peak a year ago.”
Mr. Porter and others note that while the rebound in numbers has
been fast, in terms of reclaiming the more than 400,000 jobs lost in
2008 and 2009, that doesn't mean all is well.
"At about 1.5 million, the number of unemployed remains about
one-third above its pre-recession peak, while the rate of unemployment
has not only been edging up recently, but it remains about 2 percentage
points above its level of two years ago," said TD deputy chief
economist Derek Burleton. "A closer look at the reasons for part-time
employment shows that a relatively high proportion of individuals are
in those jobs involuntarily. Lastly, the soft increase in wages speaks
to the ongoing slack in the labour market not to mention the fact that
lower-wage service industries have accounted for a sizeable share of
gains during the recovery."
|
"CAD- Job numbers grew in the month of August.."
"Monthly gains in employment averaged 13,000 in July and August .."
|
|
Canada’s
economy added 35,800 jobs in August, slightly more than expected,
although the pace of employment creation was slower than in the first
half of the year, Statistics Canada data showed Friday. Market
operators had predicted a gain of 30,000 jobs in August after a
surprise drop of 9,300 positions in July — the first decline of the
year. The August unemployment rate edged up to 8.1% from 8.0% in July
as more people entered the labor force. “Monthly gains in
employment averaged 13,000 in July and August, compared with an average
monthly increase of 51,000 during the first six months of the year,”
Statscan said in its daily bulletin. Full-time jobs increased by
79,900 while part-time positions dipped by 44,100. The educational
sector added 68,000 jobs in August after a reported loss of 65,300
positions in July — a figure which analysts at the time dismissed as
unrealistic. The average hourly wage of permanent employees,
closely watched by the Bank of Canada for inflation pressures, rose
2.3% in August from a year earlier. The equivalent figure for July was
2.6%.
Want to manage currency risk and increase revenue? Learn more about
Risk Management
|
| Currency Commentary
EUR, USD, CAD, GBP & JPY
|
|

EUR: The Euro lost strength against the Dollar in the last hours. EUR/USD
retreated further from 1.2745 (daily high) and fell to 1.2685 after
breaking below 1.2715. Currently the pair is fighting to regain the
1.2700 zone ahead of NY open.
USD: With no relevant U.S. data today, the USD is directed solely on equity market movements. For next week, will we see a reversal of the bearish trend on the USD..heading into a bullish trend?
CAD: The Loonie has had some strong gains this week, earlier today's job numbers were strong..the unemployment rate..caused slight weakness for a reversal. Currently the USD/CAD remains in the higher 1.0200 to mid 1.0300 range. Expect no major movements later today.
GBP: The US dollar is gaining momentum ahead of the NY open, causing the
GBP/USD to come off recent daily highs. The pair currently is down
around 55 pips from the last consolidated position, testing 1.5400.
JPY: The Dollar gained momentum across the board in the last hour and
against the Yen reached fresh daily highs. USD/JPY jumped from 83.90 to
84.37, hitting the highest price since last Monday. The pair is
approaching to weekly highs that lie at 84.50.
Want to lock in an exchange rate for the future? Learn more about
Forward Contracts
Follow our "tweets" and get up-to-date currency movements daily on Twitter @ http://twitter.com/taheriexchange
|
| Technical Ranges
CAD, USD, EUR, JPY & GBP
|
USD/CAD
Support: 1.0249 Resistance: 1.0390
CAD/JPY
Support: 80.57 Resistance: 82.28
EUR/CAD
Support: 1.3045 Resistance: 1.3182
EUR/USD
Support: 1.2603 Resistance: 1.2790
GBP/USD
Support: 1.5297 Resistance: 1.5467
Want us to monitor the market 24 hours for your target rate? Learn more about
Overnight Orders
|
|
This email contains confidential information, is intended only for the named recipient and is privileged. Distributing or copying this email without express consent of Taheri Exchange (TE) is prohibited. If you are not the named recipient, notify us immediately and permanently destroy this email and all copies. Email is not private, secure, or reliable. TE is not liable for any errors or omissions in the content or transmission of this email. The information, opinions, estimates, projections and other materials contained herein are provided as of the date hereof and are subject to change without notice. Some of the information, opinions, estimates, projections and other materials contained herein have been obtained from numerous sources, and, notwithstanding TE. TE makes efforts to ensure that the contents thereof have been compiled from sources believed to be reliable and to contain information and opinions which are accurate. TE has not independently verified and makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, in respect thereof and takes no responsibility for any errors and omissions which may be contained therein. TE shall not be liable for any loss arising from any use of or reliance on the information, opinions, estimates, projections and other materials contained herein whether relied upon by the recipient or user or any other third party (including, without limitation, any customer of the recipient or user). The information, opinions, estimates, projections and other materials contained herein shall not be considered as investment advice or as a recommendation to enter into any transaction. TE, its affiliates, and/or their respective shareholders, directors, officers and/or employees may from time to time have long or short positions in any products.
unscribe/subscribe to: rick@taheriexchange.com
5775 Yonge Street
Toronto, ON Canada
M2M 4J1
T: 416-488-8822
F: 416-488-4022
T: 1-888-712-9999
|
|
|
| Main USD/CAD data today: |
|
1. USD- Net change in employment & Unemployment rate data.
CAD - No relevant data.
|
|
| Customized Service. |
| Taheri understands your business, and can tailor foreign exchange services that satisfy your unique needs |
|
|