World
stocks and commodity prices fell on Tuesday before Federal Reserve
minutes that should give clues on the timing and size of more U.S.
stimulus, while the dollar hovered near a 15-year low against the yen.
The
Fed’s comments at its Sep. 21 meeting that it stood ready to provide
more support for the economy have boosted stock markets worldwide and
commodity prices, especially gold which is seen as hedge against
long-term inflation, on expectations of another round of money printing.
The
dollar was sold sharply as market players factored in the prospect of
more quantitative easing, though the U.S. currency remains weak against
the yen, which tends to benefit from global growth concerns.
However,
pending details of the Fed’s last meeting from the minutes,
expectations in some quarters are now being pared back, particularly
after Janet Yellen said in her first speech as vice chair of the Fed
late on Monday that low interest rates could contribute to financial
bubbles even if they were not a primary culprit.
“The market is
moving to pare back expectations of QE by the Fed,” said Lee Hardman,
currency economist at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi.
“The Fed minutes will be crucial as we could learn more about the size of potential asset purchases.”
A
Reuters poll of U.S. primary dealers conducted last week forecast the
size of the new round quantitative easing at between US$500-billion and
US$1.5-trillion.
World stocks measured by MSCI All-Country World Index fell 0.7%, though the Thomson Reuters global equity index was flat.
U.S.
stock index futures dropped 0.7 to 0.8%, indicating a weaker start for
Wall Street, while Europe’s FTSEurofirst 300 eased 0.8%.
Japan’s
Nikkei average fell 2.1%, dragged lower by a climb in the yen to 15-year
highs against the dollar, with investors nervous to see whether
authorities will intervene in the currency markets.
The dollar eased 0.1% to 82.04 yen, though the greenback was up 0.4% against a basket of currencies.
The euro was down 0.4% at US$1.38.19.
Countries
from Latin America to Asia have complained that the Fed’s push toward
renewed monetary easing is strengthening their currencies unduly against
the dollar, hurting their competitiveness.
Gold lost 0.6% after
last week hitting a record high of US$1,364.60 per ounce, and copper
slipped 0.2%, while oil fell 1 percent.
“The minutes will be
important in setting the scene. We’ll see whether the tone is about
downside risk,” said Bill Dinning, head of strategy at Aegon Asset
Management in Edinburgh. “But three weeks (the time until the next Fed
meeting) in these markets is an eternity. And clearly there is a debate
going on.”