World
stocks surged on Monday and Wall Street looked set to join in, driven
by robust economic news from China and relief that new global bank
rules would not mean a rush to raise billions of dollars in extra
capital.
The European Commission also sharply upgraded its forecasts for euro zone and broader European growth.
Taken
together, the news assuaged some of the most trenchant concerns among
investors at the moment — those of stuttering economic growth and over
the health of the global financial sector.
World stocks as
measured by both MSCI and Thomson Reuters were up 0.8%. The MSCI
emerging market benchmark was up 1.5% at a 4-1/2 month high.
In Europe, the FTSEurofirst 300 gained 0.9% and Japan's Nikkei closed up the same.
"Risks
of double dip (recession) straight away are clearly low. People have
probably got over-worried in August that the end of the world is nigh,"
said Michael Dicks, head of research and investment strategy at
Barclay's Wealth.
But he added: "That does not mean policymakers are not still going to have problems."
Asia
emerging market growth has been a major fillip to the rest of the world
this year, making up for a somewhat moribund U.S. economic performance.
Numbers on Saturday showed China factories increased production in
August and money growth easily topped analysts' expectations.
That
was part of a mixed, but generally growth-positive message showing the
economy remained buoyant despite Beijing's efforts to clamp down on
bank lending and property speculation.
Global policymakers
on Sunday also eased fears that lenders would have to raise capital
over the next year or so, agreeing a long lead in to new requirements,
known as Basel III, that require banks to hold top-quality capital
totaling 7% of their risk-bearing assets.
That lifted banking shares across the board and looked set to start Wall Street off in positive territory.
The
European Commission, meanwhile, almost doubled its forecast for this
year's euro zone growth, adding to a chunk of data signs in the past
month which have shown the European upturn may be stronger and more
resilient than earlier expected.
In its twice-yearly
interim economic forecasts for the 16 countries using the single
currency, it said it expected the group to grow 1.7 percent this year,
up from 0.9% forecast in May and a 4.1% contraction in 2009.
DOLLAR DOWN
Despite
all the nerves around the U.S. recovery, economists are still
forecasting it will grow faster than Europe, which is set to struggle
with the impact of budget cuts required to head off worries over rising
public debt across the bloc.
But the dollar has generally
suffered as hopes for growth globally improve, and it also suffered as
the EU forecasts improved views on the euro's prospects.
The
single currency rose one percent against the dollar to $1.2802. It also
rose 0.9 percent against the low-yielding yen to 107.63 yen.
"Better
risk appetite is putting the dollar under pressure and the euro and
currencies like the Australian dollar have been holding up very well,"
said Niels Christensen, currency strategist at Nordea in Copenhagen.
The
dollar was half a percent lower against a basket of major currencies
.DXY. The currency tends to get hit when investors buy riskier and
therefore higher-yielding assets.
Euro zone government bond yields rose, reflecting lowered prices, for the same reason.