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" Soros states 'rapid shift of economic power from the U.S. to China' .."
"The world order as we know it is turning to disorder... "
Global governance is faltering and China's grip on the global economy
is getting tighter, says philanthropist and former hedge fund manager
George Soros. Mr. Soros chose not to attack the U.S. for revving
up its printing presses in its new round of quantitative easing,
focusing instead on China's foreign exchange policies. Speaking at a
gala hosted by the Canadian International Council in Toronto, Mr. Soros
said China's devalued currency manipulates global trade and distorts the
global economic recovery. “[President Barack] Obama got the short end of the stick,” Mr. Soros
said. Not only is the President getting attacked within his own country,
foreign governments are against him even though China's policies are
just as significant. In Mr. Soros's view, both countries are at fault,
yet he added that both of their policies can work together, if used in
moderation. “There ought to be some kind of balance or compromise
between them,” he said. Mr. Soros did not let the U.S. off the hook, noting that quantitative easing has “harmful side effects.” “History shows that it gives rise to asset bubbles and it disrupts the foreign-exchange markets,” he said. Mr.
Soros devoted much of his talk to China because the country's rapid
rise is taking place at the exact same time that the U.S. is losing its
global economic dominance. “There is a really remarkable, rapid shift of
power and influence from the United States to China,” Mr. Soros said,
likening the U.S.'s decline to that of the U.K. after the Second World
War. Because global economic power is shifting, Mr. Soros said
China needs to change its focus. “China has risen very rapidly by
looking out for its own interests,” he said. “They have now got to
accept responsibility for world order and the interests of other people
as well.” Mr. Soros even went so far as to say that at times China
wields more power than the U.S. because of the political gridlock in
Washington. “Today China has not only a more vigorous economy, but
actually a better functioning government than the United States,” he
said, a hard statement for him to make because he spent much of his life
donating to anti-communist groups in Eastern Europe. Looking
forward, Mr. Soros said global governance is a pressing concern, but it
is hard to implement. “Whereas globalization and deregulation spread
like a virus, regulation is extremely difficult to achieve on an
international scale,” he said. “The world order as we know it is
turning into disorder,” he added. At first “the G20 looked like the new
central area of cooperation, and it actually did perform at the initial
conference,” he said, “but ever since then opinions have been pulling it
apart and in Seoul I think that process was taken a step further.” Mr.
Soros also touched on the unravelling European debt crisis. Although
some people are surprised that Europe is still in trouble, he is not
shocked. “The current situation can only be understood as a continuation
of the financial crisis,” he said. “We are not out of the woods.” But he did note there could be even more problems ahead because Germany is starting to dominate fiscal policy. “Effectively
Germany is imposing on the other countries a policy that has done very
well for Germany” but not for the other governments, he said. Mr.
Soros was in Toronto to accept his award as Globalist of the Year from
the Canadian International Council, which is chaired by Research in
Motion co-CEO Jim Balsillie. Mr. Soros recently opened the
Institute for New Economic Thinking in Cambridge, England. to broaden
economic thought coming out of the financial crisis.
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"USD- PPI numbers rose in October.."
"CAD- Manufacturing shipments fall in September.."
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 Industrial production probably rose
in October, rebounding from the first decrease in more than a
year and signaling manufacturing continues to support the U.S.
economic recovery, economists said before a report today.
Output at factories, mines and utilities increased 0.3
percent after a 0.2 percent drop in September, the first decline
since the recession ended in June 2009, other data
may show wholesale prices jumped last month on rising fuel
costs, while builders turned less pessimistic in November.
Gains in exports and business investment may keep assembly
lines churning, just as the initial spark from the need to
rebuild inventories wanes. The increases in global demand that
benefitted companies like General Electric Co. and helped lift
the economy gave American consumers time to repair finances and
resume spending, leading to a more balanced recovery.
“We’re slowly gaining momentum,” said Aaron Smith, a
senior economist at Moody’s Analytics in West Chester,
Pennsylvania. “The deceleration for manufacturing probably
really has run its course. Consumers are slowly ramping up.”
Canadian factory sales fell 0.6 per cent in September and new orders
also declined on slower demand for transportation equipment. Manufacturing
sales ebbed to $45.1-billion, Statistics Canada said Tuesday, led by a
drop in the cars, car parts and aerospace sector in Central Canada.
Sales fell in 13 of 21 industries, representing two-thirds of total
sales. New orders fell 4.9 per cent. Despite the drop, manufacturing
sales were 17.7 per cent higher in September than their recent low in
May 2009. Since then, sales have increased in 11 of the past 16 months,
Statscan said.
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| Currency Commentary
EUR, USD, CAD, GBP & JPY
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EUR: The EUR/USD recently resurfaced above the 1.3600 barrier, seemingly
finding slight resistance however near 1.3620. The pair remains in range
to extend its recovery from a 1.3580 low however, currently quoting at
1.3613 ahead of a slew of US fundamental data.
USD: Even though positive data came out for the U.S. ...the news out of China, Europe's debt problems continuing to plague the minds of investors..causing strength to the USD. Will the bullish trend continue after tomorrow's CPI numbers?
CAD: Markets reacting to news that Chinese government is clamping down on inflation, could trigger another interest rate hike by the Bank of China. Commodites are down as well...a reversal trend for the CAD.
Today's range for the USD/CAD ...higher 1.0000 to possibly lower 1.0200 levels.
GBP: Pound's decline from 1.6185 high on Friday extended on European session,
after failure to extend recovery beyond 1.6080, and the pair dipped to
1.5985 -Nov 12-low where the Sterling found support to return above
1.6000.he
JPY: Dollar attempted to extend its rally from 80.50 low last week and the
pair reached levels right above 83.25, although capped at 83.33, the
Greenback has pulled down to levels right above 83.00 ahead of Wall
Street opening bell.
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| Technical Ranges
CAD, USD, EUR, JPY & GBP
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USD/CAD
Support: 1.0084 Resistance: 1.0218
CAD/JPY
Support: 80.88 Resistance: 82.18
EUR/CAD
Support: 1.3749 Resistance: 1.3908
EUR/USD
Support: 1.3495 Resistance: 1.3648
GBP/USD
Support: 1.5946 Resistance: 1.6075
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| Main USD/CAD data today: |
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1. USD- PPI data.
CAD - Manufacturing Shipments data.
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