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"Soros calls gold 'the ultimate bubble' "..
"This is a period of great uncertainty so nothing is very safe.."
Billionaire
financier George Soros said on Wednesday that gold prices might
continue to rise after hitting record highs this week, but there are no
safe bets in markets nowadays. “Gold is the only actual bull
market currently. It just made a new high yesterday. In the present
circumstances that may continue,” Mr. Soros said in an interview at a
Thomson Reuters Newsmaker event. “It will be very interesting to
see if there is a decline in the next few weeks because...everything
that makes a new high almost immediately afterwards reverses and
disappoints,” Mr. Soros said. “I called gold the ultimate bubble which means it may go higher but it’s certainly not safe and it’s not going to last forever.” Gold prices on the spot market rose to a record high on Tuesday amid concerns about the global economy. “This is a period of great uncertainty so nothing is very safe,” Mr. Soros said. He
said he saw no sign of any return to strong growth in the United States
which is struggling to emerge from its worst downturn since World War
II. “If I had to sum it up in one word, I would say: ’blah.’ It
may slip into double-dip (recession) or it may not, but it is going to
slow down,” Mr. Soros said. “There is no question in my mind because the stimulus is running out, and there is great resistance to any further stimulus.” Mr.
Soros said Japan did the right thing when it intervened in foreign
exchange markets on Wednesday to bring down the value of the yen. “Certainly, they are hurting because the currency is too strong so I think they are right to intervene,” Mr. Soros said. Japan
sold yen in the market on Wednesday for the first time since 2004 and
said it would do so again to prevent the currency’s rise from hurting
exporters and threatening a fragile economic recovery. “They had
a real estate boom and then a crash in banking ... It’s 20 years now,
and they are still just struggling along,” Mr. Soros said.
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"USD- Initial Jobless claims decline to lowest level in 2 mths.."
"USD- PPI numbers rise in August.."
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Applications for U.S. unemployment
benefits unexpectedly fell last week to the lowest level in two
months, a sign the labor market is improving.
Initial jobless claims dropped by 3,000 to 450,000 in the
week ended Sept. 11, Labor Department figures showed today in
Washington. The total number of people
receiving unemployment insurance fell, and those getting
extended payments plunged.
While the pace of staffing reductions has slowed, hiring is
needed to foster bigger gains in consumer spending, which
accounts for 70 percent of the economy, unemployment will hold above
9 percent through next year, a sign it will take years to
recover the more than 8 million jobs lost in the recession.
“The labor market is slowly getting back on track,” Ryan
Sweet, a senior economist at Moody’s Economy.com in West
Chester, Pennsylvania, said before the report. “Businesses are
still cautious about hiring, but the strong recovery in profits
is giving firms the cash flow they need to invest.”
Wholesale costs in the U.S. rose in
August for a second month, indicating demand is strong enough to
prevent deflation, or a prolonged drop in prices.
The producer price index increased 0.4 percent, the most in
five months and twice the gain in July, Labor Department figures
showed today in Washington. A measure
excluding volatile food and energy costs climbed 0.1 percent.
With the recovery cooling from earlier this year, companies
may have limited scope to pass along gains in commodity costs.
The figures underscore Federal Reserve Chairman Ben B.
Bernanke’s view that the risks to the economy from higher
inflation or further disinflation are low.
“We’re moving along right in the middle of the argument
about prices,” Russell Price, a senior economist at Ameriprise
Financial Inc. in Detroit, said before the report. Deflation is
“a scenario we’re likely to avoid. Companies are keeping a lid
on prices as the economy is struggling to grow.”
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| Currency Commentary
EUR, USD, CAD, GBP & JPY
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EUR: The Euro may see a break into the 1.3200 levels if it breaks resistance @ 1.3177. Today's movement is dependant on U.S equity market reaction to the U.S. data.
USD: The Dollar has remained basically unchanged against its major rivals
after the release of Jobless claims figures, which posted a slight
decline last week against market expectations.
Tomorrow's key data announcements, CPI and Michigan Confidence data will cause possibly more movement on the USD/CAD. Will the pair end on a bearish trend..into the 1.0400 levels or descend back into the mid 1.0200 levels?
CAD: Today's movement on the CAD may reverse...even though some positive U.S. data came out pertaining to the jobless claims..the levels are the same as yesterday. Currently a bearish trend is giving more strength to the Dollar. Today's range will be from the mid 1.0200 levels..gaining to the mid 1.0300 levels.
GBP: The Pound's reversal from yesterday's high at 1.5655 extended on Wednesday
following weaker than expected UK retail sales data, and the pair
plunged to 1.5550 session low, to pick up afterwards, returning to
levels above 1.5600.
JPY: The Dollar has traded higher on European session to regain most of the
ground lost on Asian trade and rebound from 85.30 session low has
extended to 85.70, approaching 87.75 , 2-week high reached yesterday.
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| Technical Ranges
CAD, USD, EUR, JPY & GBP
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USD/CAD
Support: 1.0238 Resistance: 1.0345
CAD/JPY
Support: 82.66 Resistance: 83.79
EUR/CAD
Support: 1.3382 Resistance: 1.3463
EUR/USD
Support: 1.2996 Resistance: 1.3176
GBP/USD
Support: 1.5444 Resistance: 1.5667
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| Main USD/CAD data today: |
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1. USD- Initial Jobless Claims, Producer Price & Total Net-Tic Flows data.
CAD - No relevant data.
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