Taheri Exchange Daily FX Report
Issue: # 222          www.taheriexchange.com   18th of March 2011

 

 

Technical Ranges 
CAD, USD, EUR, GBP & JPY
technical charts

USD/CAD

Support:  0.9800      Resistance: 0.9890

CAD/JPY

Support:  81.88    Resistance:  83.48

EUR/CAD

Support:  1.3828   Resistance:  1.3958

EUR/USD

Support:  1.4070  Resistance:  1.4186

GBP/USD

Support:  1.6113  Resistance:  1.6204

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Currency Commentary

EUR, USD, CAD, GBP , JPY


EUR:   The Euro remains trading on a strong pace, favoured by the moderate risk appetite in equity markets, and after a slight pullback to 1.4040, the pair has bounced up strongly reaching a fresh 4-month high at 1.4100.

USD:   With news of a "no-fly zone" agreed amongst 10 united nation members..and G7 intervention to weaken the Yen...markets are in a positive trend. The USD/CAD remains in the lower 0.9800 range..and can it sustain this level or will we see a bullish trend towards 0.9900 as seen earlier this week?

There is alot for the markets to monitor..will the nuclear situation in Japan..continue to plague the minds of investors, can Libyan rebel forces keep their stronghold?? Next week, alot of key U.S. data due ...New home sales, durable goods, gdp and Univ. of Michigan confidence report. The bullish trend may continue next week....

CAD:   This morning's CPI data out of Canada...somewhat moderate..yet no matter how positive the CAD data may be...oil is the main trigger for the Loonie strength. Earlier..oil pricing was rising...

For alot of our buyers...you may want to place orders in the low 0.9800 lvls..for sellers...0.9900 range..

Expected range ..    possible lower 0.9800 to possibly higher 0.9800


GBP:  The Cable makes its way back from an earlier daily low at 1.6060 where it found firm support, recently recovering the upside of 1.6100 and bouncing to 1.6140 at time of writing. The pair has been somewhat wobbly today on rumors of the BoE buying the GBP/JPY and EUR/JPY following yesterday´s G7 consensus and the BoJ´s earlier intervention efforts during overnight trade.


 
JPY:   The USD/JPY jumped from 79.00 area to reach 82.00 day high after G7 finance ministers' agreement to fight against Yen appreciation, and the pair eased on Early European session to stabilize between 81.20 and 81.50 afterwards.

 

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worldfx

" G7 united for intervention of Yen  "....

" G7 countries agreed that if we caved in to such speculators that took advantage of people's misfortunes, the Japanese economy would be ruined and the whole world economy would be harmed   ".....

 

The Group of Seven is ready to "act decisively" again if currency market speculation persists, Japanese deputy finance minister Fumihiko Igarashi said on Friday after the G7 agreed to intervene together to restrain the soaring yen.

Igarashi told Reuters in an interview he was satisfied with the impact the rare joint action had on Japanese markets, helping boost stocks and weakening the yen.

The yen weakened by the most since 2008 versus the dollar, and U.S. index futures rose after central banks intervened to weaken Japan’s currency.

The yen lost 2.6% against its 16 most-traded peers and sank 3.2% versus the dollar at 10:25 a.m. in London. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index fluctuated between gains and losses and Standard & Poor’s 500 Index futures gained 0.4%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average added 2.7%.

The G7 show of solidarity came as a surprise to many because Tokyo had indicated it was looking for moral support for its attempts to calm markets rather than concerted intervention.

"The yen’s rise was driven by speculators," Igarashi, one of Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda’s two deputies, said.

"G7 countries agreed that if we caved in to such speculators that took advantage of people’s misfortunes, the Japanese economy would be ruined and the whole world economy would be harmed," he said.

"Our stance remains unchanged that we will take decisive steps against speculators who act like sneaky thieves at a scene of a fire."

G7 agreed that authorities should in principle stay away from markets but that Japan was in a state of emergency, struggling to cope with a triple blow of a deadly earthquake, tsunami and the world’s worst nuclear accident since Chernobyl.

The U.S. dollar surged two full yen to as much as 81.83 yen JPY, leaving behind a record low of 76.25 hit earlier this week as the Bank of Japan kicked off the joint action. Media reported it bought more than $25 billion.

Asked about the size of Friday’s intervention, Igarashi said he simply was not sure what was the total amount.Japan’s Nikkei share index climbed nearly 3%, recouping some of the week’s stinging losses in the aftermath of last week’s 9.0 magnitude earthquake.

As he was speaking, traders were reporting that European central bank sprung into action, with French and German central banks officially confirming they took part in the intervention.

Igarashi said the finance ministry expected the Bank of Japan to continue supplying ample funds to financial institutions to maximise the impact of the intervention.

"We think it is desirable for the BOJ to steadily carry it out (ample fund injections) and we highly value the fact that the bank has been doing so."

Igarashi said much credit for the swift and rare G7 action went to Noda and his good relations with U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, and that it was not certain before Friday’s G7 conference call that it would lead to a joint intervention.

"It was not clear if the statement would turn out this clearcut (on joint action). Noda took strong initiative in seeking a clear stance on this and persuaded other countries to agree."

The last time the G7 agreed on joint intervention was a decade ago to turn a slumping euro following its 1999 launch.

The G7 comprises Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and United States.

 

 

" CAD-  CPI decreased slightly in February  "..

" energy prices, particularly the cost of gasoline, contributed to keeping inflation above B.O.C's target rate  " ...

bulls-bears

Statistics Canada says annual inflation edged down one-tenth of a point to 2.2 per cent in February.

The agency says energy prices, particularly the cost of gasoline, contributed to keeping inflation above the Bank of Canada's ideal 2-per-cent level.

But the central bank's other key measure – underlying core inflation that excludes volatile items like energy – fell to 0.9 per cent.

Prices were higher in February in six of the eight major components tracked by the agency, although such items as women's clothing, footwear and travel tours cost less than a year ago.

On a month-to-month basis, consumer goods were 0.3 per cent more expensive last month than in January, mostly due to higher energy and gasoline prices.

On a regional basis, Nova Scotia remained the province with the highest inflation rate at 3.4 per cent. Many people in that province use oil and other fuel to heat their homes.

Alberta continued to enjoy the most stable prices, with an inflation rate of 1.2 per cent.

Drivers in every province except Manitoba faced double-digit price increases for gasoline on a year-over-year basis.

 

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Main USD/CAD data today:

1. USD - No relevant data.
2. CAD - CPI data.

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