The
eurozone's debt crisis deepened on Tuesday as investors pushed the risk
premiums on Spanish and Italian bonds to euro lifetime highs and
Portugal warned of the risks facing its banks.
The euro dipped to
its lowest level against the dollar in over two months, immune to new
attempts by European policymakers to calm markets hell-bent on testing
the EU's determination to shield its financially weak members.
Two
days after the bloc approved an 85 billion euro (US$111.7 billion)
emergency aid package for Ireland, worries about Portugal and Spain
persisted and the borrowing costs of countries like Italy, Belgium and
France shot higher.
Markets are already discounting an eventual rescue of Portugal although, as Ireland did, it says it requires no outside help.
Should
its much larger neighbor Spain require assistance, it would sorely test
the resources of the bloc and raise questions about the integrity of
the 12-year old single currency area.
"Markets are very nervous
and may even target situations that do not warrant such excessive
worrying, hence no one can really predict," Tomasso Padoa-Schioppa, a
former Italian finance minister and ECB member, told a Greek newspaper
when asked whether the EU would be able to save Spain.
"In my
opinion, conditions in Spain are such that there is absolutely no reason
to expect that it will be targeted. I repeat, however, that markets are
in a very nervous mood."
Italy, which most analysts see as at lesser risk, is now being referred to as "too big to fail" and "too big to bail."
The euro dipped below US$1.30 for the first time since mid-September and the yield spreads of 10-year Spanish, Italian
and Belgian bonds over German benchmarks spiked to their highest levels since the birth of the euro in January 1999.
The
cost of insuring most eurozone government debt against default rose and
European shares banking shares fell over 1% in nervous trading.
"INTOLERABLE RISK"
Portugal's
central bank warned overnight that its country's banks faced an
"intolerable risk" if the government in Lisbon failed to consolidate
public finances and urged financial institutions to reinforce their
capital in the coming years.
Although the minority Socialist
government in Portugal approved an austerity budget for 2011 last week,
it is struggling to meet its targets for deficit reduction, with the
core state sector shortfall widening 1.8% in the first 10 months of this
year.
Troubles in Portugal could spread quickly to Spain because of their close economic ties.
The
German economy has been robust this year on the back of rising exports
and surprisingly strong domestic demand, but countries like Greece,
Ireland, Portugal and Spain face little or no growth and high
unemployment.
Ireland faces a particularly daunting task in
meeting the terms of its bailout and cleaning up its battered banks.
Irish bank debt spreads continued to widen on Tuesday despite the
rescue.
In addition to the bailout, European leaders approved on
Sunday the outlines of a long-term European Stability Mechanism (ESM),
based on a Franco-German proposal, that will create a permanent bailout
facility and make the private sector gradually share the burden of any
future default.
The new mechanism could make private bondholders
share the cost of restructuring a euro zone country's debt issued after
mid-2013 on a case-by-case basis.
Eurointelligence, an online
commentary service, said markets were growing increasingly concerned
about the solvency of euro zone peripheral states after focusing mainly
on their immediate liquidity problems in past weeks.
Reflecting EU
concerns about Greece's ability to pay back the loans in a 110 billion
euro EU/IMF bailout agreed back in May, it was given a six-year
repayment extension to 2021 at the price of a higher rate of interest.