| Technical Ranges
CAD, USD, EUR, GBP & JPY
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USD/CAD
Support: 0.9945
Resistance: 1.0019
CAD/JPY
Support: 81.01
Resistance: 81.86
EUR/CAD
Support: 1.3293
Resistance: 1.3423
EUR/USD
Support: 1.3301
Resistance: 1.3468
GBP/USD
Support: 1.5427
Resistance: 1.5571
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Currency Commentary
EUR, USD, CAD, GBP , JPY
EUR: In the last few hours, the EUR/USD has experienced substantial bullish movement rising some 90 pips to reach a daily high in 1.3391. The pair has since settled underneath around 1.3360, yet remains poised to threaten resistance at 1.3400 over the upcoming sessions.
USD:
For the last day of 2010, equity and commodity markets are continuing their bullish trend. The USD/CAD remains in the "parity range" as it has been this whole week.
Key signs for the markets in 2011, will China continue their appetite for commodites, can the Eurozone manage their debt issues...have they created enough "bailout funds" and the moderately positive data out of the U.S. in the past few weeks...are they clear signs of recovery? Finally, will we see more "QE" in the latter part of 2011?
CAD: Despite remaining within a tight range seen over the past few days, the USD/CAD has been weighed to the downside of parity in recent trading due to a weaker USD.
Overall, will this trend continue into the 1st quarter of 2011..and can the commodity and equity markets remain in their bullish trend...?
Ending off 2010, another great day for buyers of the USD.
Expected range for the USD/CAD...similar to yesterday possible lower 0.9900 to lower 1.0000 levels.
GBP: Cable continues to pullback from yesterday’s dip to 1.5370, recovering another 60 pips in the final hours of the Asian session to surpass the 1.5500 mark. The pair currently quotes just above that resistance area where it attempts to consolidate to the upside over European trading.
JPY:
The USD/JPY was lightly dragged down by a weak greenback in the final hours of the Asian session, only to find support around 20 pips under the day’s opening price at 81.30. The pair has since lingered just above that mark, waiting for fresh direction.
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" Commodities outperform stocks, bonds and USD in 2010 "....
" There is no doubt that demand is coming from China, and there are other emerging markets where demand grew".....
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Commodity prices beat gains in stocks, bonds and the dollar this year as China, the biggest user of everything from cotton to copper to soybeans, led the recovery from the first global recession since World War II.
The Thomson Reuters/Jefferies CRB index of 19 raw materials gained 15 percent through yesterday. The MSCI All Country World Index of stocks rose 13 percent with dividends reinvested. Global bonds returned 4.7 percent, based on Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s Global Broad Market Index, and the U.S. Dollar Index, a gauge against six counterparts, added 2.1 percent. The CRB outpaced the other measures for the first time since 2007.
Investors snapped up raw materials this year as China’s growth, the fastest of any major economy, spurred record demand for sugar and soybeans and rising imports of copper. At the same time, crops were ruined by Russia's worst drought in at least a half century, flooding in Canada and parched fields in Kazakhstan, Europe and South America.
“This year has been incredibly strong,” said Nic Johnson, who helps manage about $24 billion in commodities at Pacific Investment Management Co. in Newport Beach, California. “You’ve had strong growth from China that put a bid into copper, and global crop problems cause huge rallies.”
This was the first year since 2005 that commodities, stocks, bonds and the dollar all rose as the global economic recovery proved resilient.
Gains in the CRB were led by cotton, which surged 89 percent this year, reaching a record Dec. 21, on speculation that supply would fail to keep pace with rising demand in China. Silver, the precious metal most used in industry, jumped 81 percent as it attracted investors betting on both faster and slower economic growth. Corn jumped 49 percent and coffee climbed to a 13-year high as inventories shrunk and bad weather threatened crops in South America.
China’s economy expanded more than 10 percent this year, according the median of 18 economists’ estimates compiled by Bloomberg. While growth will slow to 9 percent next year, that will still be three times the rate of the U.S. and six the times the speed of the euro region, based on Bloomberg surveys of as many as 69 economists.
“There is no doubt that demand is coming from China, and there are other emerging markets where demand grew,” said James Paulsen, who oversees $350 billion as the chief investment strategist at Minneapolis-based Wells Capital Management. “Commodities have gone up because the economy was gearing up. It became a sustainable global economic recovery.”
"CAD continued it's parity trend..."..
"The economic optimism going into the calendar year-end and beyond will likely contribute to a more risk-related activity in currency markets, benefiting the CAD ".....

The Canadian dollar reached perfect parity with its U.S. counterpart on Thursday, on a day when oil and gold prices dropped, sending Canada’s benchmark index to a slight loss.
In Toronto, the S&P/TSX composite index fell 14.77 points, or 0.11% to 13,434.41. Three of the 10 sub-indexes gained, but decliners were led by two of the index’s heavyweights, energy and financials.
The safe haven offered by gold was less attractive to investors on Thursday after the U.S. Labor Department announced that initial jobless claims for last week came in lower than expected, and the Institute for Supply Management-Chicago Inc.’s business barometer hit its highest point since July 2008, exceeding all estimates. The price of gold fell $7.60 US to $1,405.90 US an ounce.
“As the economy starts to pick up and we get businesses to start using the money that they have on their balance sheets and we get a bit of pick up in confidence, that will be a bit of a drag on the gold price,” Jennifer Radman, a money manager at Caldwell Investment Management Ltd. in Toronto, told Bloomberg.
Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar rose six basis points to close the day at parity with the greenback, the first time it’s closed at that point since Nov. 10.
“The economic optimism going into the calendar year-end and beyond will likely contribute to more risk-related activity in currency markets, which should benefit the Canadian dollar,” Jack Spitz, managing director of foreign exchange at National Bank of Canada, told Bloomberg.
The price of oil also dropped on Thursday after the U.S. reported a decline in inventories that was less than analysts had forecast. Crude oil fell $1.28 US to $89.84 US a barrel on the New York Venture Exchange.
Markets declined in the U.S. as concerns that stocks were overvalued outweighed the favourable economic news in that country.
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| Main USD/CAD data today: |
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1. USD- No relevant data. CAD - No relevant data.
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