Taheri Exchange Daily FX Report
Issue: # 196         www.taheriexchange.com   8th of February 2011

 

 

Technical Ranges 
CAD, USD, EUR, GBP & JPY
technical charts

USD/CAD

Support:  0.9865        Resistance: 0.9934

CAD/JPY

Support:  82.68        Resistance:  83.36

EUR/CAD

Support:  1.3401     Resistance:  1.3560

EUR/USD

Support:  1.3545     Resistance:  1.3688

GBP/USD

Support:  1.5988     Resistance:  1.6144

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Currency Commentary

EUR, USD, CAD, GBP , JPY


EURO:  Euro recovery form Monday's low at 1.3505 was capped at 1.3665 high by weaker than expected German Industrial production figures, and the pair eased to 1.3630, to regain the upside, once the effect of the data vanished, returning to 1.3665, with Friday's high, at 1.3680.

USD:   Expect another day of low volume in trading, commencing Thursday the Initial jobless data and Friday..trade balance & Univ. of Michigan Confidence report. If the USD/CAD remains in the mid 0.9800 to lower 0.9900 range before Thursday...will we see a strong bullish trend end the week for the USD?

CAD:   Commodity and equity markets alittle weaker today, due to China's unexpected interest rate hike..as one economist from the "China Merchants Bank" stated we may see more hikes this year. Overall, the Loonie still remains strong...currently the USD/CAD is in the higher 0.9800 range.

Today's range ..mid 0.9800 to possibly mid 0.9900 levels.

GBP:   The Cable has been trading choppy throughout the European session, recently edging underneath the 1.6100 barrier before catching support around 1.6090. The pair currently is testing just below that level, as it lingers around a daily of 1.6080.

JPY:    The Dollar recovery from one-month low at 81.10 on Friday showed unable to extend through 82.45 level, tested on Friday and Monday, ad the pair has pulled lower, as Yen strengthened on Early European session, breaking below 82.15 support level to hit 82.00.


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worldfx

" China raises interest rates to control inflation  "....

" third rate increase since China began a monetary tightening cycle in earnest in October".....


China raised interest rates on Tuesday, its second increase in just over six weeks, intensifying its campaign against stubbornly high inflation.

The timing was a surprise, coming on the final day of China’s Lunar New Year holiday, but investors have long expected more monetary tightening as Beijing struggles to rein in price pressures and ward off a property bubble.

Benchmark one-year deposit rates will be lifted by 25 basis points to 3 per cent, while one-year lending rates will also be raised by 25 basis points to 6.06 per cent, the People’s Bank of China said. The rises take effect from Feb. 9.

Although annual inflation slowed to 4.6 per cent in December, it is set to pick up again in January with food prices on the rise.

This is the third rate increase since China began a monetary tightening cycle in earnest in October.

“I didn’t think it (China’s rate hike) would happen today, but it doesn’t matter whether you think it will happen today or tomorrow. You know that interest rates are going up,” said Mike Lenhoff, chief strategist at Brewer Dolphin in London.

With inflation running near its fastest in over two years, Beijing hopes higher rates will encourage savers to keep more of their money in banks and also weigh on the demand for mortgage loans.

Anti-inflation talk from the central bank in recent months has primed investors for more policy tightening and, even with the latest move, many believe further tightening is in the cards.

A Reuters poll in December showed economists expect the one-year deposit rate to climb to 3.25 per cent by June.

While tighter policy may put a lid on China’s growth and have taken a toll on the country’s share market , many analysts believe any economic slowdown will be moderate.

If anything, that China is tightening policy at a time when U.S. and euro zone interest rates are at record lows is a mark of confidence within the country that its economy, the world’s second-largest, is on solid ground.



" CAD- Housing starts data increased for the month of January .."..

" higher seasonally adjusted rate was due to an increase in rural areas of the country ".....

bulls-bears

The pace of new-home construction in Canada increased slightly last month, rising to 170,400 units on a seasonally adjusted annual rate.

That's up from 169,000 in December, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.

The federal agency says the higher seasonally adjusted rate was due to an increase in rural areas of the country.

The rate of urban starts fell 1.7 per cent to 146,900 units.

The estimated number of actual housing starts in January, without seasonal adjustments, was 10,584.

That's down from January 2010, when there were 11,172 actual starts according to revised figures from CMHC.


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Main USD/CAD data today:

1. USD- No relevant data.
CAD - Housing starts data.

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