Taheri Exchange Daily FX Report
Issue: # 215         www.taheriexchange.com   8th of March 2011

 

 

Technical Ranges 
CAD, USD, EUR, GBP & JPY
technical charts

USD/CAD

Support:  0.9682        Resistance: 0.9756

CAD/JPY

Support:  84.35        Resistance:  85.37

EUR/CAD

Support:  1.3441     Resistance:  1.3577

EUR/USD

Support:  1.3822     Resistance:  1.3942

GBP/USD

Support:  1.6075     Resistance:  1.6192

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Currency Commentary

EUR, USD, CAD, GBP , JPY


EUR:  The Euro is retreating further from 4-month highs on Tuesday and is testing the 1.3900 level. The pair is trading at daily lows, under pressure as stocks in Europe turn negative. The EUR/USD accelerated the decline on European hours after being unable to rise back above 1.4000 during the Asian session.


USD:   Equity and commodities are slightly down due to rumours that the opposition party rejecting peace talk offers with the Libyan president. Expect the markets to react as they did yesterday..choppy levels..and possibly thin trading volumes once more. Key U.S. data commences on Thursday and Friday....will we see the USD/CAD head into the 0.9800 lvls or remain in the 0.9700 range for this week?


CAD:  The only positive for the Loonie currently was stronger than expected Housing starts data...once the markets absorb the info...it will continue on it's choppy levels. The pair is unable to break into the mid 0.9600 range...will the break happen in the next 2 days or will we see a reversal in the trend?

Buyers of USD..still great rates available. For sellers of USD, once we reach the 0.9800 lvls...this may be a good time to sell.

Expected  range .. possible higher 0.9600 to mid 0.9700 levels, dependant on U.S. equity movements today.


GBP:   The Pound Failure at 1.6345 area yesterday, has triggered a 180 pip decline, with the pair retreating below 1.6215 support.


JPY:    The Dollar retreat from Friday's high at 83.05 was contained yesterday at 81.95 low, and the pair has bounced up over the latest sessions, picking up momentum on European trading, extending recovery to 82.60.

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worldfx

" OPEC members are in discussion about raising oil output  "....

" We are in consultation, but we have not decided which direction  ".....



Kuwait's oil minister said Tuesday that OPEC members are in informal talks about raising oil output, but have yet to make any decisions about adjusting supply.

The 12-nation Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries has so far held its official output quotas unchanged, even as massive protests across the oil rich Middle East have pushed global oil prices to their highest levels since late 2008. An uprising in OPEC member Libya has stoked supply concerns and the producer bloc is facing increasing pressure to pump more oil into the market to ease prices.

Some members of the group, which supplies roughly 35 per cent of the world's oil, have begun talks about supply, Sheik Ahmed al-Abdullah al-Sabah told reporters outside Kuwait's parliament Tuesday.

“We are in consultation, but we have not decided which direction,” he said, without providing details of the talks or where they might lead.

Kuwait is, for now, sticking to its previously agreed quota levels. “We didn't increase,” Mr. al-Sabah said.

Oil prices hovered near $104 a barrel Tuesday, down from the nearly $107 a barrel struck the previous day, crude's highest level since Sept. 26, 2008.

U.S. light crude futures fell 43 cents to $105.01.

OPEC is not scheduled to meet again formally until June 8 in Vienna.

The group has repeatedly said the spike in prices is fuelled by market fear driven by speculative investors rather than a tangible shortage of supply.

Oil inventories in developed nations remain high, but the concerns have focused on the possibility that the unrest that has ravaged Libya will spread to other major producers, most notably Saudi Arabia.

On Monday, Qatar's energy minister said there is no shortage of production or supply on global markets.

“The stocks are at a healthy level for the consumer so there is no reason to worry,” the minister, Mohammed bin Saleh al-Sada, was quoted as saying by the state-run Qatar News Agency.

But Mr. al-Sada added that OPEC is closely monitoring the situation and stands ready to act if needed.

“From what we know, a number of countries are happy to check the market if there is any shortage,” he said.

Libya sits atop Africa's largest proven reserves of conventional crude, and produces about 1.5 million barrels per day. But the fighting between anti-government rebels and forces loyal to leader Moammar Gadhafi has battered production, lowering output by more than half, according to many estimates.

Saudi Arabia, which has over 4 million barrels in spare production capacity, has been increasing its output to offset the Libya export slump.



 

" CAD -  Housing starts come better than expected for the month of February "..

" We continue to expect a softening in overall housing starts " ...

bulls-bears 

Housing starts in Canada climbed in February to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 181,900 in February, driven by construction in Ontario and the Prairies, Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. said today.

That's up from 170,600 in January, and largely because of construction of multi-family housing in Toronto and Saskatchewan and Toronto.

"We continue to expect a softening in overall housing starts, particularly with the anticipated higher interest rates and a slower second half of the year keeping home prices under wraps," said economist Krishen Rangasamy of CIBC World Markets.


 

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Main USD/CAD data today:

1. USD - No relevant data.
2. CAD - Housing starts data.

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