Week 16 was challenging, but we again came out on top with a winning record of 4-3-1. The one push does not count, so that is 4-3 which is 57% and very good. When most handicappers on the planet cannot break even at 52.38% you begin to understand how good 57% is and how good our overall record is.

After 174 decided games, our record as we enter the last week of this second year of the exciting project is:

103-71-7 (59.20%)

Long way to go to reach a bare minimum of 300 games played, but I think all will agree that the first two years have been extraordinary!

Credit, as always, goes to knowledge, science, and understanding the mental game better than the others!

In this final week 17 of the NFL regular season, all the games are played on Sunday, and there are some really thrilling contests, and some that are just too hard to call as we don't know which teams will be resting their starters and for how long. I always say that week 17 is just as hard to predict as weeks 1 and 2 when we have no data at all! 

OK, let's get right to it ... and on this final week, I was again able to make a huge number of 7 picks. Here goes:


Take the Browns -2.5 away against the Bengals (Bet Online, -119).

Take the Colts -3.5 away against the Jaguars (Bet Phoenix, -110) 

Take the Saints -13 away against the Panthers (Jazz Live, -110)   

Take the Steelers -2 away against the Ravens (Vegas Consensus, -105)  

Take the Dolphins +16 away against the Patriots (Jazz Live, -110) 

Take the Chiefs -8.5 home against the Chargers (Jazz Live, -110)  

Take the Broncos -3 home against the Raiders (Vegas Consensus, -120)

That is 6 away teams, 2 home teams, and 6 underdogs and 1 favorite! My system does tend to favor the underdog and for good reason statistically.  I have mixed feelings about these picks ... seems like it could go either way or it could be a fairly average 3 or 4 win week, but the only way to find out is to see the results. The MPI is much better than me!

In review, after having picked 174 decided games we are now 103-71-7 (59.20%) overall picking sides against a known line. 

This is terrific. We have the mental understanding on our side. But with only 174 win or loss games played, there is a long way to go to achieve statistical certainty at a level I am comfortable with. Everything is smooth sailing so far. One thing different from what I am doing versus so many others is that I am tough on myself. I will not declare victory until there are over 300, and maybe even 400 picks in ... and we probably need 1000 to convince some of the slower learners in sports about the extreme value of knowing mental performance. 

See all the picks, past and upcoming, the record of picks, articles on my system, and much more at the new website at the below website. Of particular interest are 4 very good articles that go way into depth about picking NFL games and the mission I am on.