In week 12, we killed it with a 4-1 record! We won on the Colts, Seahawks, Ravens, and Bills, and we lost on the Lions. The overall record is now a record high 84-63-5 (57.14%!). This is phenomenal!
In week 13, I face a serious dilemna. While the MPI indicates that there are 7 solid picks, I don't like them at all! What to do in such a case? Well ... after a lot of deliberation, I have decided to go with the MPI and forget my instincts. I always do this anyway because the MPI is much more precise than I am, but I am just saying this because 7 is a ton of picks, and picks I do not like, so I do have some fear!
Let's see and hope that the system is better than I am once again. That is why I built it ... to outthink even my most serious and flawed thoughts! Maybe I need a mirror to do some psychotherapy on myself this week :-)
Here goes:
On Thanksgiving Day there are two picks:
Take the Bills +7 away against the Cowboys (BetOnline, -115).
Take the Saints -6.5 away against the Falcons (Jazz Live, -110).
Here are Sunday's picks:
Take the Titans +2.5 away against the Colts (Jazz Live, -110) (this is one pick I really hate ... but I have to stick with the system!
Take the Buccaneers -1 away against the Jaguars (Jazz Live, -110)
Take the Dolphins +10 home against the Eagles (BetOnline, -115) (I hate this pick too!)
Take the Redskins +10 away against the Panthers (Bet Phoenix, -115).
Take the Patriots -3.5 away against the Texans (Jazz Live, +100)
In review, we are now 84-63-5 overall picking sides against a known line. This is really quite excellent. But with only 147 win or loss games played, there is a long way to go to achieve statistical certainty at a level I am comfortable with, but everything is smooth sailing so far. One thing different from what I am doing versus so many others is that I am tough on myself. I will not declare victory until there are over 300, and maybe even 400 picks in ... and we probably need 1000 to convince some of the slower learners in sports!
HAVE A GREAT THANKSGIVING!
See all the picks, past and upcoming, the record of picks, articles on my system, and much more at the new website at the below website. Of particular interest are 4 very good articles that go way into depth about picking NFL games and the mission I am on.
