In week 8, we were a solid 2-1 (67%)!
The overall record against the spread is now 75-55-4 (57.69%)
Week 8 was very difficult to predict, but we still did well and almost hit all 3 correctly. Aaron Rodgers destroyed that chance with an absolutlely amazing pass in the corner of the endzone as he was falling back. That's the way it goes!
While week 9 has a lot more solid picks, I am never overconfident. It usually is the recipe for disaster. But we make 6 picks, and they are below:
(1) On Thursday Night Football, take the 49ers -10 away against the Cardinals (Bet Phoenix, -105).
(2) Take the Redskins +10 away against the Bills (Bookmaker, -110).
(3) Take the Titans +4 away against the Panthers (Bet Phoenix, -120)
(4) Take the Packers -3 away against the Chargers (BetOnline, -130)
(5) Take the Patriots -3 away against the Ravens (CG Technology, -120)
(6) Finally, on Monday Night Football, take the Cowboys -7 away against the Giants (Heritage, -108).
It seems crazy, but that is all away teams that we are picking this week! Home field advantate is something I have studied extensively, and it is a very very small advantage, almost unnoticeable statistically, so I am not afraid of making bold moves like this when the data dictates it.
In review, we are now 75-55-4 overall picking sides against a known line. This is phenomental, but it is still very early. With only 130 win or loss games now in the tank, there is a long way to go to achieve statistical certainty at a level I am comfortable with, but everything is good so far. And that is one thing different from what I am doing versus so many others. I am tough on myself. I will not declare victory until there are over 300, and maybe even 400 picks in ... and we probably need 1000 to convince some of the meat heads in sports! LOL
See all the picks, past and upcoming, the record of picks, articles on my system, and much more at the new website at the below website. Of particular interest are 4 very good articles that go way into depth about picking NFL games and the mission I am on.
