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Welcome to football again, finally! It has been a long off-season, but it all kicks off tomorrow with the Packers vs. Bears!

As I will do each and every week of the 17-week NFL season, I will send you my exclusive picks based on the analyses. Use them for recreation or for more serious purposes, or just follow along as I continue adding to the database of what is the most exciting project in the NFL - the quest to show how mental factors can enhance prediction, and this is the second year of this major quest. 

We are slowly but surely validating what I believe will become the most successful football picking method in the world, and it is based on the fact that we measure the mental game and implement it in the selections using an adaptation of the patented MPI scoring system.

It is all an offshoot of my book "The Mental Performance Index" written in 2011 and revised in 2013 and supported by some of the biggest names in pro football including Don Shula, Tom Flores, NFL Films and many more. 

If you review the site at 
you will see that the best NFL handicappers on the planet who pick sides are not able to get above 52% success long-term. We are doing better than that. When enough games have accumulated that show statistically that this is not a function of chance, we will know what we have, and I am confident we will be very pleased. Let the data collection continue, and the entire story and challenge is posted on the pages of the above site. 

Let's get on to it with the picks in week 1!

Weeks 1 and 2 of the NFL season are the most difficult by far to predict. As you might imagine, there is just no data yet on what the teams are doing. As such, I make these first two weeks of picks in a totally different way than in weeks 3 - 17. I have to rely on more generic trends and cannot use the MPI. The success rates are also much worse, in the 52% to 54% range at best, compared with the 56% to 58% I should be able to get starting in week 3. 

Despite this major limitation, I have rolled the dice in week 1 this year with 4 picks. I am up for a fun challenge even if it might slightly chip away at my average of success.

Here you go: 

(1) Take the Packers +3.5 away against the Bears (BetOnline, -129) in the Thursday night game.  

(2) Take the Panthers +3 home against the Rams (CG Technology, -110). 

(3) Take the Jaguars +4 home against the Chiefs (Heritage, -108). 

(4) Take the Cardinals +2.5 home against the Lions (BetOnline, -105).

Good Luck and enjoy this brand new season.

See all the picks, past and upcoming, the record of picks, articles on my system, and much more at the new website at:

If you would like to learn more about sports psychology and the other aspects of my work with clients, please visit the sites at: 
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